Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia Commonwealth
Atlantic 10
2014-15
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.8#34
Expected Predictive Rating+12.1#28
Pace71.1#61
Improvement-4.8#341

Offense
Total Offense+5.4#34
Improvement-4.9#342

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#34
Improvement+0.0#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.5% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 50.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round54.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen15.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.4% n/a n/a
Final Four1.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.3% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2014 81   Tennessee W 85-69 69%     1 - 0 +21.8 +2.9 +2.9
  Nov 18, 2014 93   Toledo W 87-78 80%     2 - 0 +10.8 +0.9 +0.9
  Nov 20, 2014 222   Maryland Eastern Shore W 106-66 93%     3 - 0 +34.0 -3.0 -3.0
  Nov 24, 2014 4   Villanova L 53-77 17%     3 - 1 -3.1 +10.5 +10.5
  Nov 25, 2014 47   Oregon W 77-63 55%     4 - 1 +23.6 +4.8 +4.8
  Nov 29, 2014 70   @ Old Dominion L 67-73 55%     4 - 2 +3.5 +4.8 +4.8
  Dec 02, 2014 72   @ Illinois St. W 66-62 55%     5 - 2 +13.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Dec 06, 2014 6   Virginia L 57-74 29%     5 - 3 -0.5 +8.2 +8.2
  Dec 13, 2014 27   Northern Iowa W 93-87 2OT 56%     6 - 3 +15.2 +4.6 +4.6
  Dec 16, 2014 149   Belmont W 78-51 87%     7 - 3 +25.4 -0.8 -0.8
  Dec 20, 2014 55   @ Cincinnati W 68-47 46%     8 - 3 +32.7 +5.9 +5.9
  Dec 22, 2014 228   East Tennessee St. W 84-60 94%     9 - 3 +17.7 -3.2 -3.2
  Dec 29, 2014 114   Cleveland St. W 72-63 83%     10 - 3 +9.6 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 04, 2015 188   @ Fordham W 75-58 81%     11 - 3 1 - 0 +18.4 +0.7 +0.7
  Jan 07, 2015 30   Davidson W 71-65 60%     12 - 3 2 - 0 +14.3 +4.2 +4.2
  Jan 10, 2015 158   Saint Joseph's W 89-74 89%     13 - 3 3 - 0 +12.4 -1.3 -1.3
  Jan 13, 2015 59   @ Rhode Island W 65-60 50%     14 - 3 4 - 0 +15.9 +5.4 +5.4
  Jan 17, 2015 207   @ Duquesne W 70-64 83%     15 - 3 5 - 0 +6.7 +0.3 +0.3
  Jan 23, 2015 268   @ Saint Louis W 63-61 89%     16 - 3 6 - 0 -0.8 -1.4 -1.4
  Jan 27, 2015 69   George Washington W 72-48 75%     17 - 3 7 - 0 +27.9 +1.9 +1.9
  Jan 31, 2015 62   Richmond L 55-64 71%     17 - 4 7 - 1 -4.0 +2.5 +2.5
  Feb 04, 2015 195   @ George Mason W 72-60 82%     18 - 4 8 - 1 +13.2 +0.6 +0.6
  Feb 07, 2015 105   @ St. Bonaventure L 71-73 65%     18 - 5 8 - 2 +4.9 +3.4 +3.4
  Feb 11, 2015 100   La Salle L 69-74 2OT 81%     18 - 6 8 - 3 -3.6 +0.7 +0.7
  Feb 14, 2015 69   @ George Washington W 79-66 55%     19 - 6 9 - 3 +22.6 +4.8 +4.8
  Feb 17, 2015 268   Saint Louis W 74-54 95%     20 - 6 10 - 3 +11.4 -4.3 -4.3
  Feb 21, 2015 121   Massachusetts W 78-72 84%     21 - 6 11 - 3 +6.0 +0.0 +0.0
  Feb 25, 2015 62   @ Richmond L 63-67 2OT 50%     21 - 7 11 - 4 +6.7 +5.4 +5.4
  Feb 28, 2015 54   Dayton L 55-59 67%     21 - 8 11 - 5 +2.2 +3.1 +3.1
  Mar 05, 2015 30   @ Davidson L 55-82 37%     21 - 9 11 - 6 -12.9 +7.0 +7.0
  Mar 07, 2015 195   George Mason W 71-60 92%     22 - 9 12 - 6 +6.4 -2.3 -2.3
  Mar 12, 2015 188   Fordham W 63-57 87%     23 - 9 +4.6 -0.7 -0.7
  Mar 13, 2015 62   Richmond W 70-67 61%     24 - 9 +10.8 +3.9 +3.9
  Mar 14, 2015 30   Davidson W 93-73 48%     25 - 9 +31.2 +5.6 +5.6
  Mar 15, 2015 54   Dayton W 71-65 57%     26 - 9 +15.1 +4.5 +4.5
Projected Record 26.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.5 0.5 9.9 40.4 38.5 10.1 0.7 0.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.5 0.5 9.9 40.4 38.5 10.1 0.7 0.0